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MEXICO CITY, July 10 -- Early last year, a handful of senior American
officials in Washington received an alarming secret intelligence
report on Mexico. It was on its face, officials said, the sort
of document that can force policy makers to change the way they
think about a country or a region.
In a matter of just weeks, the National Security Agency reported,
Mexican drug traffickers had laundered some $6 billion in illicit
profits through their country's financial system. The spy agency
based its conclusion on an elaborate surveillance of the contacts
between drug gangs and their business associates.
Almost immediately, State Department officials delivered an angry
protest to the Mexican Ambassador over the apparently vast breach
in his country's defenses against drug trafficking.
Then, however, American officials' outrage gave way to chagrin.
The agency, they realized, was asserting that Mexico had taken
in a flood of dollars nearly equal to its entire foreign investment
that year without any discernible impact on its economy. ''It
just couldn't have happened,'' one official said. And he added,
''You have to ask: 'Which reports am I supposed to believe?' ''
An examination by The New York Times, based on scores of interviews
and a review of classified documents, indicates that the agency's
discredited assessment was by no means an isolated lapse in the
annals of United States intelligence on drugs and corruption in
Mexico.
Rather, as the United States weighed momentous decisions about
Mexico in the 1990's -- from the North American Free Trade Agreement
to the $12.5-billion bailout of the Mexican economy after a currency
crisis -- American policy makers were blindsided by some important
developments, misinformed about others and inattentive to many
more.
After insisting for years that Mexican corruption was an old affliction
being cured by a new generation of political leaders, senior American
officials have begun to acknowledge that the growing power and
influence of Mexico's drug traffickers have led to a law-enforcement
crisis so deep that it threatens the stability of a country that
shares almost 2,000 miles of border with the United States.
Yet a good deal of the information upon which that conclusion
is based had languished in the files of American law-enforcement
agents and intelligence officers for years, officials said. Only
rarely did such intelligence command the time of senior policy
makers.
Even less frequently did it prompt them to take any action. ''A
lot of this information has been out there, in the bowels of the
system,'' said Donald F. Ferrarone, who, before his recent retirement
as head of the Drug Enforcement Administration's field office
in Houston, oversaw investigations that dealt closely with the
political protection of Mexican drug traffickers. ''But it has
been ignored, because people don't want to believe it, the extent
and degree of corruption.''
Allegations over almost two years of drug-related corruption in
the inner circle of former President Carlos Salinas de Gortari
have forced American officials to rethink the issue. The governing
party's loss of control of the lower house of Congress in mid-term
elections last week now raises the possibility that Mexican legislators
will examine more closely than the ever the misdeeds of the ruling
elite.
In recent weeks, senior Clinton Administration officials have
begun to plot a wholesale reorganization of the Federal Government's
drug-intelligence apparatus. Officials said the overhaul will
seek to pool some information that is now tightly held by different
agencies, disseminate important material more quickly, and thin
out a vast intelligence bureaucracy in which different offices
perform similar work.
But many officials argued that the failures of American intelligence
on Mexico are even deeper and more serious than policy makers
have acknowledged. And the problems, by all accounts, have been
as much ones of demand as of supply.
Law-enforcement agents who worked in and on Mexico while Mr. Salinas
was a prized ally of the United States said they were often discouraged
by political pressure to keep the drug issue from jeopardizing
improvements in the economic relationship between the two countries.
At crucial moments, they asserted, intelligence struggled with
policy and policy won.
For their part, many officials in Washington said they could not
help but grow skeptical of the intelligence after being deluged
with vague, uncorroborated informants' reports and analysis that
was either so thin on evidence or so carefully hedged as to be
of little use.
At the height of such problems, during the American debate over
the free-trade accord that was approved in November, 1993, Mexico's
strategic importance to the United States came into focus as never
before. The personal reputations and political strength of Mexican
leaders became central questions of American foreign policy.
Yet in the case of Mr. Salinas's influential elder brother, Raul,
American investigators did little more than file away allegations
that he was not only taking kickbacks on government contracts
but cutting deals with cocaine traffickers, officials familiar
with the reports said. Drug-enforcement agents said they dropped
an inquiry into telephone calls by drug traffickers to the Mexican
President's offices after they had trouble figuring out whom the
traffickers had called.
American officials so thoroughly failed to share information on
Carlos Salinas's Deputy Attorney General, Mario Ruiz Massieu,
that three different agencies raised questions about his conduct
without ever hearing of Customs Service reports that suitcase
after suitcase of cash had been deposited in Mr. Ruiz Massieu's
account in a Texas bank.
Nearly a year after Mr. Salinas left the presidency, a secret
Central Intelligence Agency assessment of his own reported misconduct
argued that at the least, his hands-on governing style made it
''unlikely that he had no knowledge of his brother's affairs or
the shady dealings of other close associates.''
But while a fuller understanding of the drug traffickers' penetration
of Mexican politics may await the outcome of criminal investigations
that now extend from San Diego to Switzerland, the revelations
of wrongdoing have already contributed to a reordering of United
States policy.
In a recent interview, the newly departed American Ambassador
to Mexico, James R. Jones, recalled his arrival here four years
ago. His priorities were to manage trade, promote investment and
push for more democratic politics. Then, the list began to change.
''The majority of my time,'' he said in May, as he prepared to
leave the country, ''is now spent on administration-of-justice
issues, corruption and narcotics trafficking.''
The Background
The Old Priorities: Trade and Politics
As Carlos Salinas took office at the end of 1988, the perspective
of United States officials could hardly have been more different.
The Drug Enforcement Agency and the C.I.A. had traced a growing
traffic in drugs through Mexico since the mid-1980's, when the
United States began to increase pressure on Colombian smuggling
routes through the Caribbean. But through the early 1990's, officials
said, American experts remained convinced that Mexican traffickers
had nothing close to the financial clout or political influence
of their Colombian partners.
American officials also drew a sharp distinction between the young,
American-trained technocrats whom Mr. Salinas brought to power
and the more experienced, conservative -- and corrupt -- politicians
whom he appointed in areas like law enforcement, national security
and the ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party.
At the start of his six-year term, Mr. Salinas seemed to attack
drug trafficking with a new zeal. Having been told by the Bush
Administration that the problem could obstruct closer economic
ties, Mr. Salinas ordered the seizure of more drug shipments,
the eradication of more drug crops, and the capture of a powerful
drug trafficker, Miguel Angel Felix Gallardo.
John D. Negroponte, the United States Ambassador to Mexico from
1989 to 1993, gave voice to the prevailing optimism.
In a confidential memorandum to law-enforcement officials at the
embassy, Mr. Negroponte hailed Mr. Salinas's early steps as ''clear
proof that Mexico is interested in meaningful cooperation with
the United States to reduce this flow of drugs.''
In a recent interview, he recalled: ''I don't think we ever doubted
Salinas's personal integrity. He was a very disciplined guy. He
always wore that Casio sports watch. He worked like hell.''
Several law-enforcement officials who served at the embassy were
more skeptical. But they said they also had trouble making their
case when the drug problem, like other sources of friction between
the two countries, was supposed to be ''managed'' so as not to
threaten growing investment and trade.
As United States law enforcement officials had untangled a Mexican
cover-up of the 1985 assassination of an American drug-enforcement
agent, Enrique S. Camarena, many became convinced that drug corruption
reached the highest levels of the Mexican Government. They believed
that unless that system was dismantled, drug interdiction efforts
were condemned to futility.
Now, American agents were being told to simply do the best they
could.
''There was a sense that Mexico was a place that we were just
going to have to deal with in the shape that it was in,'' said
Matthew J. Maher, a veteran of the Camarena investigation who
served as the Drug Enforcement Administration's international-operations
chief until 1994. ''The only questions you asked were whom you
could deal with and how far you could go. It was a matter of finding
a path through the minefield.''
Moves toward the trade agreement increased contacts between the
two Governments geometrically. But that only reinforced Washington's
belief that a new political day had dawned in Mexico.
''Every American official who came through there met with the
Mexicans involved with Nafta,'' Mr. Negroponte said. ''That was
the prism through which the American Government was looking at
the Mexican Government. We certainly felt that the reformers were
in the ascendancy.''
Those bright, English-speaking officials seemed to sustain an
American faith: that the more Mexico opened up to competition,
the more its Government would have to scale back its economic
role -- and the less chance Mexican officials would have to demand
bribes in return for waiving rules or awarding contracts.
Drugs figured little in the equation. But just as Mr. Salinas
embraced a trade deal with the United States, the scope of Mexican
trafficking began to change as well.
Colombian cocaine producers had already made Mexico their main
route to the thriving American market. Then Mexican traffickers,
who had been working for fees of $1,000 or $2,000 for every kilogram
of cocaine they smuggled, began to demand their cut in kind.
The economics were simple: by taking their payment in cocaine
and greatly expanding their distribution network, especially in
the western United States, the Mexicans began to increase their
profits between 5 and 10 times, officials said. And as the value
of their smuggling routes rose, so did their payments for protection
to politicians, judges, prosecutors and the police.
New trade regulations began opening the already porous border
even more. But drug-intelligence officials said it would still
take several years before the implications of this change -- and
the threat it posed to Mexican security -- were fully grasped
by American policy makers.
The Warnings
Little Response To Early Reports
While Carlos Salinas was being celebrated in Washington and on
Wall Street as the man who might lead Mexico into the developed
world, American officials began hearing a very different picture
of his inner circle from a source they knew well.
In 1991, a Mexican Federal police commander who had carried out
sensitive operations for both Salinas brothers came forward with
some startling, specific allegations. The commander, Guillermo
Gonzalez Calderoni, spoke to officials from the Drug Enforcement
Administration, the Federal Bureau of Investigation and a United
States Attorney's office in Texas. And he told of drug payoffs
and dirty political tricks at the highest levels of Government.
By 1993 at the latest, American officials said, Mr. Gonzalez Calderoni
had told them that Luis Medrano, a close associate of one of Mexico's
biggest drug traffickers, had told him of paying Raul Salinas
two years earlier to help their trafficking group acquire two
seaports that the Government was planning to sell to private investors.
American officials who dealt with the case said Mr. Gonzalez Calderoni's
claims were strongly debated within Federal law-enforcement agencies
because he was widely thought to have had his own corrupt ties
to Mr. Medrano's boss, Juan Garcia Abrego, and because Mexico
had unsuccessfully sought his extradition.
None of what Mr. Gonzalez Calderoni had to say fit readily into
any active drug investigations, the officials said. None of it,
without further confirmation, was enough to open a new inquiry
into drug-related corruption. So in the end, they said, his reports
were simply filed away.
''I don't think he was ever looked at as being a serious witness
in corruption cases,'' one former official familiar with the debriefings
said. ''Back in 1993, it was very unpopular to say anything against
Mexico, basically because of Nafta. Who was going to go and do
a direct investigation against the President's brother? You just
put it away, and it goes into the batter.''
The Information
Charges Abounded; Evidence Was Scanty
Eventually, Mr. Gonzalez Calderoni's allegations circulated throughout
the Government. The C.I.A., in particular, viewed him as a less
than compelling source. One official said he came to personify,
one official says, ''the difficulty of getting hard, reasonably
credible information on these kinds of allegations.''
Several other knowledgeable officials put the C.I.A.'s struggle
with Mexican corruption in a different light. Throughout the first
half of the decade, they said, the agency that is supposed to
be the primary source of information for American policy makers
about internal workings of foreign governments spent relatively
little time trying to verify the sort of charges that people like
Mr. Gonzalez Calderoni made.
The C.I.A. station in Mexico City has generally been the agency's
most important in Latin America. But former American intelligence
officials said that during the latter half of the cold war --
when the city was a hub of Soviet espionage, a crucial base for
Cuban agents and the common sanctuary for leftist Central American
guerrilla groups -- turning a blind eye to the drug-related corruption
in the Mexican internal-security apparatus was often a condition
for securing its assistance.
The quid pro quo became evident as early as 1982, after Federal
prosecutors in San Diego indicted the chief of Mexico's internal-security
force on charges of helping to run a huge car-theft ring. The
prosecutors promptly received a cable from the United States Embassy
in Mexico City telling them to desist; the Mexican official, Miguel
Nazar Haro, was an ''essential contact'' of the C.I.A. station
there. Mr. Nazar Haro remains a fugitive from prosecution in the
United States and his whereabouts are unknown.
Mexico is one of two dozen foreign nations where the agency is
authorized by a 1986 Presidential decision directive to conduct
covert anti-drug operations, intelligence officials said. One
official said it is also among the handful of nations where the
C.I.A. has even broader authority under a top-secret appendix
to the Presidential order.
Yet until recently, several officials said, C.I.A. officers in
Mexico have been far less active against the drug and corruption
problems than their counterparts in Colombia, who trained elite
anti-drug forces and guided operations against the leaders of
the Medellin and Cali cocaine cartels.
''In Colombia, you had the agency pushing and clamoring and trying
to get in on it,'' said a retired American official who worked
in both countries. ''In Mexico, you had to go down there and try
to get them jump-started. They were not focused on drugs. And
a lot of the D.E.A. guys there didn't want them involved anyway.''
Mexico has also been something of a stepchild to the secret coordinating
group that has orchestrated the increasingly cooperative efforts
of United States law-enforcement, intelligence and military agencies
in the Andes, officials said.
The existence of the panel, called the Linear Committee, has not
been previously disclosed. But officials describe it as an unusually
successful collaboration directed by the C.I.A.'s Counternarcotics
Center and the Drug Enforcement Administration to find weak points
in the linear chain of cocaine production and distribution.
Until late 1995, several officials who have sat in on its deliberations
said, the Linear Committee's priorities were very much in the
Andes. Only after most of the main Cali cartel leaders had surrendered
or been arrested did it turn more intently to the major Mexican
traffickers.
Some officials said that shift has already shown some results.
Last year, the committee helped coordinate the pursuit of Jose
Luis Pereira, the principal contact between the jailed Cali cocaine
baron Miguel Rodriguez Orejuela and a powerful Mexican drug trafficker,
Amado Carrillo Fuentes, whom Mexican officials confirmed today
had died after plastic surgery last week to change his appearance.
Mr. Pereira, a Bolivian known by the code name Jota, was captured
by the Mexican Army after a lengthy surveillance of his safe houses
by the C.I.A., officials said. He was then deported home on a
plane that stopped in Miami, where Federal agents were waiting
for him. He pleaded not guilty and is now standing trial on Federal
drug charges.
The Blind Spot
Signs of Trouble Got Little Attention
United States officials explain some of the lapses of intelligence
efforts in Mexico by noting that probably nowhere else abroad
do American officials deal with a more complicated mesh of economic
interests, national-security concerns, law-enforcement problems
and domestic political considerations.
But many officials also attributed some of the shortcomings to
a chronic inattention by American policy makers.
In the months surrounding the agreement's approval in November
1993, officials said, few policy makers even noted reports by
the Defense Intelligence Agency indicating that a shadowy armed
group appeared to be active in the southern Mexican state of Chiapas.
Similarly, though some finance and intelligence officials were
concerned in late 1994 about the overvaluation of Mexico's peso,
C.I.A. analysts decided not to issue a warning about the problem
just a few days before the currency collapsed, according to intelligence
officials. At the State Department, copies of an intelligence
report titled ''A Peso Problem'' sat mostly unread on the shelves.
''We have had, historically, a great deal of information from
down there, but nobody wanted to look at it, because they didn't
know what to do,'' said former Senator Dennis DeConcini, the Arizona
Democrat who was chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence
until the end of 1994.
''They were afraid of how bad it might be, and how they would
be able to justify the economic policies,''said Mr. DeConcini,
who, at his own request, received regular briefings on Mexico
from the C.I.A.
Senior officials who dealt with Mexico under the Bush and Clinton
Administrations said it was far easier to get the National Security
Adviser or Secretary of State to focus on a short-term problem
like Haiti's elections than to devote 20 minutes to a question
of Mexico's long-term stability.
In early 1995, for instance, a powerful group of Deputy Secretaries
ordered a far-reaching assessment of Mexico's turmoil and its
implications for American policy. It was typical, officials said,
that this effort was eventually forgotten, and the study never
completed.
Nor have United States officials had much success in acting to
stop Mexican corruption, even in the rare instances when they
have had information they considered solid enough to act on.
One such case, in 1992, began when American drug-enforcement agents
in El Paso raided the home of a mid-level cocaine trafficker and
happened upon a fascinating video cassette.
Several officials who saw it said the tape showed the trafficker,
his wife or girlfriend and several associates cheerfully shooting
off automatic weapons with a friend in military fatigues. The
friend turned out to be a Mexican Army general, Javier Escobedo.
When the video cassette reached the United States Embassy in Mexico
City, Mr. Negroponte, the Ambassador, saw it as an unusual opportunity
and he immediately delivered a copy to Mexico's Defense Minister.
After being confronted with the evidence by his superiors, however,
General Escobedo chose neither to turn informant nor face a court
martial. Instead, the officials said, he drove to the grave of
his father, who had also been an army general, and shot himself
to death.
The circumstances of his suicide were never disclosed.
The Alarm
Growing Turmoil South of the Border
In the fall of 1994, as Washington's Mexico specialists tried
to make sense of a guerrilla uprising, a tumultuous presidential
election campaign and the assassination of two major ruling-party
political figures, many of them began to take the corruption problem
more seriously.
So did many Mexicans. Ernesto Zedillo, who was elected President
that August, pledged to clean up the country's judicial system,
and Mr. Jones, the Ambassador, offered information that he said
might help the new Government keep out corurupt officials.
Diplomats at the embassy saw the exchange of information as a
unique opportunity to deal with the problem. But by the way it
was handled, the episode seemed to demonstrate American ambivalence
about the issue once again.
Mr. Jones asked several of the embassy's senior law-enforcement
and intelligence officials to draw up a list of current and former
Mexican officials who they thought should have no place in the
upper ranks of an honest new regime.
The list they produced -- a copy of which was obtained by a reporter
and confirmed in its contents by three knowledgeable American
officials -- catalogues a much wider presumption of corruption
at the senior levels of the Salinas Administration than United
States officials have ever acknowledged publicly.
Among its 18 names are those of a former Interior Minister, a
former Defense Secretary, and a former Attorney General; three
officials who had been in charge of anti-drug efforts, Mr. Salinas's
former national security chief and his former drug intelligence
chief. It also includes several veterans of the Federal Security
Directorate, the state-security force that collaborated closely
with the C.I.A. until it was disbanded in 1985.
Those officials who could be contacted by a reporter uniformly
denied having ever done anything wrong and said they had no idea
that they had been included on the American blacklist.
In any case, United States officials did not press the point.
Mr. Jones sent the list without first clearing the action with
the State Department or White House. He later described it as
a mere ''exchange of information.'' A second list of about 30
lower-ranking Mexicans, against whom the embassy officials felt
they had weaker evidence, was never sent at all.
A senior American official said at the time that the list had
been a great success because none of those it named were allowed
into Mr. Zedillo's Government.
But that does not appear to be true. Among those on the list is
Wilfredo Robledo, a senior operations official at Mexico's national-security
agency, the Center for Investigations and National Security. Mexican
officials who work with Mr. Robledo said he remains on the job
and in good standing.
Officials at the center and the Interior Ministry, which controls
the center, did not respond to telephone calls asking for comment.
The Bureaucracy
American Agencies Locked in Turf Battles
American law-enforcement and intelligence officials said one of
their basic problems in understanding the growing political influence
of Mexican drug traffickers stemmed from the failure of government
agencies to share information.
While law-enforcement agents are building their cases, their practice
is to guard what they know as closely as possible. After it comes
out in court, they say, they generally have little time to try
to evaluate the strategic significance of the information they
have gathered.
C.I.A. analysts who want to borrow such files often have to go
to another agency's offices to read them. Often as not, policy
makers are the last to find out what law enforcement officials
already know.
''There is an impenetrable firewall,'' one State Department official
said, ''between what U.S. attorneys are doing and what the policy
side of the house knows.''
Rarely, however, has the system appeared so uncommunicative as
in the case of Mr. Ruiz Massieu, a Deputy Attorney General who
was both a close aide to Carlos Salinas and a brother of a leading
politician said to have been killed on the orders of Raul Salinas.
American officials began to suspect Mr. Ruiz Massieu of corruption
after Mr. Garcia Abrego, the trafficker, escaped just ahead of
a 1993 raid to which he was apparently tipped off.
That December, Mr. Ruiz Masseiu opened a bank account in Houston.
A few months later, his closest aide began arriving there with
suitcases and boxes stuffed with hundreds of thousands of dollars
in cash.
Customs agents in Texas recorded shipments that would eventually
leave more than $9 million in the bank. But even after a suspicious
bank officer called them to inquire about the money, Customs officials
said, the agents did not investigate further.
''Their sense was that there was something wrong there,'' the
head of the Customs Service's financial investigations division,
Alan Doody, said of the agents in Houston. ''But the realization
came pretty quickly that this guy was part of the ruling elite.
There was a whiff that something wasn't right. But in order to
do something about it, you need more than a whiff.''
In Mexico City and Washington, other American law-enforcement
officials were getting more. Some informants told of large gifts
to Mr. Ruiz Massieu and his wife. Others described a huge smuggling
case in which Mr. Ruiz Massieu and his deputy exonerated corrupt
Mexican police agents. The success of Mexican anti-drug operations
plummetted.
Even then, officials said, Customs, F.B.I. and drug-enforcement
officials shared little information about the case. Senior officials
in Washington and Mexico learned of Mr. Ruiz Massieu's Texas deposits
only after he was arrested at Newark International Airport as
he tried to flee to Europe in March 1995.
When word of Mr. Ruiz Massieu's fortune reached the American Embassy
in Mexico City, Mr. Jones assembled law-enforcement and intelligence
officers in ''the bubble,'' a secure room adjoining his office.
He asked what evidence they might contribute to the case on Mr.
Ruiz Massieu's apparent corruption.
''All of our great minds said they didn't have any evidence against
him,'' one official at the meeting recalled.
The Mexicans
Political Rivals Traded Graft Charges
In explaining their belated apprehension of the traffickers' connections
to the Salinas Administration, law-enforcement and intelligence
officials make an insistent point: Mexican political tradition
dictates absolute loyalty until a president steps down. The airing
of corruption allegations almost always comes later.
Mr. Zedillo appeared to underscore that point as he began his
term. Within little more than three months after he took office,
Raul Salinas was arrested on murder charges, Mario Ruiz Massieu
was accused of taking bribes from drug traffickers, and Carlos
Salinas was forced into exile, his reputation in shreds.
As Mexico was being rocked by those tremors, American officials
took inventory of the corruption allegations they had against
leading members of the Mexican elite.
Perhaps the most comprehensive such search was ordered by senior
law-enforcement officials in March 1995, as Republicans in Congress
fought Mr. Clinton's plan to rescue the Mexican economy.
The review turned up all kinds of accusations, officials said,
none of them entirely convincing.
''There was just no smoking gun,'' said Robert Nieves, who joined
the search as the Drug Enforcement Administration's chief of international
operations. ''That doesn't mean that it wasn't meaningful. But
you couldn't go to court with that information.''
How deeply American agencies dug into such matters is unclear.
Several officials who read much of the C.I.A.'s reporting on Mexican
corruption between 1992 and 1995 said the reports rarely indicated
that intelligence officers had done any significant investigation
of the claims of their informants.
United States law-enforcement officials who were stationed in
Mexico City said they had little choice but to look skeptically
at the allegations they heard.
Within the Mexican police and security apparatus, they said, leaking
negative information about one's political enemies to American
officials was a basic weapon of bureaucratic struggle.
''Now, all of that information is almost 100 percent,'' said a
former law-enforcement official who processed some of the most
explosive accusations against Mexican officials, politicians and
businessmen. ''But at the time, we had to ask ourselves, 'Is it
possible that it goes this high up?' We were afraid to write it
up sometimes because we thought people would say we were crazy.''
The Fiasco
A General's Arrest Humiliates U.S.
More recently, even as events in Mexico have forced the Clinton
Administration to reassess drug trafficking and corruption here,,
American intelligence efforts have continued to run into problems.
The fall last February of Mexico's drug-enforcement chief was
a case in point.
The official, Gen. Jesus Gutierrez Rebollo, was arrested on charges
of working for Mr. Carillo Fuentes, the powerful cocaine trafficker
who apparently died last week at a Mexico City clinic. Eight days
earlier, the bald, rock-jawed Mexican officer had stood at attention
in Washington as the White House drug-policy chief, Gen. Barry
R. McCaffrey, described him as ''an honest man and a no-nonsense
field commander.''
As commander of a five-state military region that has its headquarters
in the western city of Guadalajara, General Gutierrez Rebollo
had been credited with the capture of one major cocaine trafficker
in 1995, the arrest of another last August and the seizure of
a plane loaded with millions of dollars in drug profits in between.
The prevailing view, said a White House official who reviewed
background information about the general from the Central Intelligence
Agency and the Defense Intelligence Agency, was that he was ''a
soldier's soldier.''
That no other army commander had taken remotely so much initiative
in the fight against drug trafficking did not stir much doubt
among experts who assessed his appointment for the two intelligence
agencies and the Drug Enforcement Administration. Rather, according
to several officials familiar with their reports and briefings,
the intelligence analysts appeared to take their main cues from
American drug-enforcement agents stationed in Guadalajara. The
agents, who had dealt with the general on several cases, thought
he was all business.
Some of the analysts did note that General Gutierrez Rebollo had
managed to avoid the regular rotations to which other commanders
were subjected. But officials said that their reports and briefings
raised no particular alarm that he had remained for more than
six years in Guadalajara, the Beirut of Mexico's drug underworld.
It is an established pattern of Mexican corruption that successful
police commanders sell protection to one trafficking group while
attacking others. But it went unnoticed among drug-intelligence
analysts, officials said, that General Gutierrez Rebollo had been
vigorously attacking the Tijuana-based drug gang run by the Arellano
Felix brothers while virtually ignoring their rival, Mr. Carrillo
Fuentes.
Had United States officials queried senior Mexican law-enforcement
officials, they might have confirmed that the general had balked
at turning over suspected associates of the Arellano Felix gang
whom his officers had captured, tortured and held incommunicado.
Had they asked officials in Guadalajara, they would have heard
about serious allegations of misconduct against a close aide whom
General Gutierrez Rebollo had placed as head of the state police.
After the state government dismissed the aide, the general hired
him back as chief of investigations at Mexico's drug enforcement
agency.
''He was showing results,'' said one American official who dealt
with General Gutierrez Rebollo. ''His methods were overlooked.''
By the time of his arrest in February, American drug enforcement
officials had heard from several informants who questioned the
general's honesty. The reports were not vigorously pursued, officials
said.
Since the Gutierrez Rebollo episode, officials said, the C.I.A.
has instituted a new system to warn of such problems.
Every biography the agency's analysts produce on a Mexican official
now includes a caveat: just because no negative information has
turned up does not mean that the official can necessarily be trusted.
The Solutions
Structural Changes Encounter Resistance
By late 1995, the new Director of Central Intelligence, John M.
Deutch, was sufficiently dissatisfied with the agency's reporting
on Mexico that he ordered intelligence officers and analysts to
redouble their efforts.
Mr. Deutch, who lived briefly in the Mexican city of Cuernavaca
as a boy, took over the post with the Clinton Administration still
feeling the sting of Congressional and public anger over the peso
crisis. Officials said he included Mexico for the first time on
the list of strategic priorities for the C.I.A. He asked his officers
to focus on the stability of Mr. Zedillo's Government and the
threats it faced from both drug corruption and guerrillas.
Nearly two years later, the White House's drug-policy chief, General
McCaffrey, suggested that the problems of intelligence on Mexico
are still far from solved.
Fresh from his own embarrassment with the fall of General Gutierrez
Rebollo, General McCaffrey said in an interview that he has begun
an effort to create ''a newly defined architecture'' for the myriad
agencies that collect information to support anti-drug efforts.
General McCaffrey said the goal of the redesign will be to establish
new ''roles and missions and a hierarchy'' for such agencies as
the Drug-Enforcement Administration's El Paso Intelligence Center,
the C.I.A.'s Counternarcotics Center in Langley, Va., the Treasury
Department's Financial Crimes Enforcement Network outside Washington,
and the National Drug Intelligence Center in Johnstown, Pa.
''We need to make sure that this extraordinary amount of information
that we've got supports real-world people involved in drug interdiction
better than it does now,'' he said.
General McCaffrey said he had briefed the Secretaries of State,
Defense, Justice and Treasury on the idea, described it to the
Congressional intelligence committees, and gotten the acting Director
of Central Intelligence, George J. Tenet, to join him in leading
a study group that is to design a new structure by this fall.
But other officials said there is already strong opposition to
the idea, particularly in the Justice and Treasury Departments.
Some officials in those agencies said they were concerned about
protecting sensitive or confidential information, such as the
details of continuing investigations or income-tax returns. Other
officials said that to pool any of their information would be
to cede power.
''Call me when it happens,'' one senior official said. ''Something
like that might work in the military, but those guys don't fight
like they do in Washington.''
Illustrations: Photos: MOUNTAINS OF DRUGS ARE SEIZED: A Mexican
soldier carried cocaine to a pile for incineration in Matamoros
in April. The cocaine was part of a shipment of about 10 tons
that was found inside a tanker truck. (Reuters)(pg. A10); A KINGPIN
ON TRIAL: Juan Garcia Abrego was escorted from the Federal courthouse
in Houston last year after his arraignment on charges of drug
trafficking and money laundering. (Associated Press); Raul Salinas
de Gortari (Reuters); Gen. Jesus Gutierrez Rebollo (Reuters);
Amado Carrillo Fuentes (El Norte/Associated Press)(pg. A11)
Map of Mexico highlighting Guadalajara: Mexico's jailed drug-enforcment
chief was commander of the military region centered on Guadalajara.
(pg. A11)
Chart: ''The Trail of Drug Corruption''
As Mexico's drug trade boomed, American officials received repeated
warnings of high-level corruption among Mexican law-enforcement
officials and politicians.
Dec. 1, 1988 -- Carlos Salinas de Gortari takes office as Mexico's
President and promises to attack drug trafficking with renewed
zeal.
January 1990 -- A Federal grand jury in Los Angeles indicts the
former Mexican federal police chief and 18 others in the kidnapping,
torture and murder of an American anti-drug agent, Enrique S.
Camarena, in Guadalajara in 1985.
Fall 1991 -- A Mexican police commander, Guillermo Gonzalez Calderoni,
begins a series of confidential interviews in which he tells American
officials that high-level Mexicans, including the President's
elder brother, Raul Salinas, are involved in drug-related corruption.
After a long debate, American officials file the allegations away
without further investigation.
November 1991 -- Mexican soldiers, apparently protecting a drug
flight, gun down seven federal police agents who chase the traffickers
with American radar assistance to a remote airstrip in the eastern
state of Veracruz. Despite the evidence of military collusion
with the traffickers, the United States Ambassador, John D. Negroponte,
initially describes the incident ''a regrettable accident.''
April 1992 -- Mr. Salinas's Comptroller General, Mara Elena Vazquez
Nava, tells the President of allegations that his elder brother,
Raul, is involved in corrupt business activities. At the President's
apparent insistence, Raul Salinas gives up his Government post
and briefly leaves the country to take a research position at
the University of California at San Diego.
March 1993 -- A convicted Mexican cocaine smuggler, Magdalena
Ruiz Pelayo, begins offering testimony to American prosecutors.
She claims that Mr. Salinas's father, for whom she says she once
worked, has ties to drug traffickers.
Aug. 26, 1993 -- A top associate of one of Mexico's biggest cocaine
traffickers, Juan Garcia Abrego, tells F.B.I. officials in Houston
that his organization paid huge bribes to a Deputy Attorney General
in charge of anti-drug efforts under Mr. Salinas, Javier Coello
Trejo, and other senior Mexican law-enforcement officials.
Nov. 8, 1993 -- Mexican intelligence officers intercept telephone
calls that reveal a relationship between Mr. Salinas's Communications
and Transportation Minister, Emilio Gamboa Patron, and a woman
under investigation as an associate of Mr. Garcia Abrego. Mr.
Gamboa says the woman was a friend of his but denies any association
with Mr. Garcia Abrego. The woman is also found to have carried
on a long affair with Mr. Salinas's chief of staff, Jose Cordoba
Montoya, but is never charged with wrongdoing.
Aug. 4, 1994 -- A Mexican federal police commander takes delivery
of some eight tons of cocaine from a converted passenger jet that
lands near the northern mining town of Sombrerete. The Deputy
Attorney General in charge of anti-drug programs, Mario Ruiz Massieu,
supervises an investigation that uncovers no wrongdoing.
Dec. 1, 1995 -- Ernesto Zedillo takes office as President, vowing
to clean up Mexico's law-enforcement apparatus. Before his inauguration,
an American diplomat gives his transition team a list of 18 current
and former Mexican officials viewed as corrupt by the United States
Embassy.
Feb. 28, 1995 -- Raul Salinas de Gortari is arrested on charges
of having plotted the murder of Jose Francisco Ruiz Massieu, his
former brother-in-law and the brother of the deputy attorney general.
Raul Salinas is later found to have stashed more than $120 million
in foreign bank accounts under a false name, with Citibank transferring
much of the money. Carlos Salinas subsequently leaves Mexico and
goes into exile.
March 3, 1995 -- Mario Ruiz Massieu is arrested at Newark International
Airport on Customs charges. In 1997, he is forced to forfeit almost
$8 million he had deposited in Houston bank accounts after the
money is shown to have come from drug traffickers' bribes, including
a large payoff for the Sombrerete cocaine shipment.
July 1996 -- Along with Magdalena Ruiz Pelayo, another convicted
drug trafficker, Marco Enrique Torres, agrees to testify about
drug payments made to Raul Salinas.
Feb. 6, 1997 -- General Gutierrez Rebollo, Mexico's newly appointed
drug enforcement chief, is arrested in Mexico City and later charged
with having secretly worked for Amado Carrillo Fuentes, a powerful
drug trafficker who was reported dead on July 5.
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